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LESSON

AI 021. Explain Decision Trees and Random Forests

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ANSWER

Decision Trees and Random Forests are both popular machine learning algorithms used for classification and regression tasks, but they work in slightly different ways. Let’s break down how each of them operates:

Decision Trees:

Imagine a decision tree as a flowchart where each internal node represents a “test” or “question” on an attribute (e.g., Is the weather sunny?), each branch represents the outcome of the test (Yes or No), and each leaf node represents a class label (decision taken after computing all attributes). The paths from root to leaf represent classification rules.

In essence, a decision tree takes an input object (like the details of a day’s weather), and based on the attributes of the object (like temperature, humidity, etc.), it follows the decisions in the tree until it reaches a leaf node, which gives the output classification (like whether to play outside or not).

Decision trees are straightforward to understand and interpret, making them a popular choice for many. However, they can become very complex with many layers, which can lead to overfitting the training data and not generalizing well to new data.

Random Forests:

A Random Forest is essentially a collection (or “forest”) of Decision Trees, typically trained with the “bagging” method. The basic idea is to create multiple Decision Trees from randomly selected subsets of the training set (both samples and features) and then to combine their predictions. When making a prediction, each tree in the forest votes, and the most popular class label (for classification tasks) or the average prediction (for regression tasks) becomes the model’s output.

Random Forests address some of the main limitations of a single Decision Tree, particularly overfitting, by averaging multiple trees’ predictions to improve accuracy and robustness. They can handle large datasets with high dimensionality and provide estimates of feature importance.

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Quiz

What is the primary purpose of using multiple decision trees in a random forest?
A) To increase the complexity of each individual tree
C) To improve prediction accuracy and control overfitting
B) To ensure that each tree is trained on the full dataset
D) To reduce the training speed of the model
The correct answer is C
The correct answer is C
How do decision trees determine the class of an input object?
A) By averaging the predictions of all nodes
C) By following a path from the root to a leaf node based on input attributes
B) By selecting the most frequent class at the root node
D) By randomly selecting a path in the tree
The correct answer is C
The correct answer is C
Which feature of random forests helps in reducing the risk of overfitting seen in individual decision trees?
A) Using a single decision tree to make all predictions
C) Reducing the depth of each tree in the forest
B) Training each tree on a different subset of the dataset
D) Increasing the number of trees in the forest
The correct answer is C
The correct answer is B

Analogy

Think of a Decision Tree as a single judge making a decision based on a set of rules. The judge asks a series of yes/no questions about the case (the input data) until reaching a verdict (the classification). This process is transparent and straightforward, but if the judge is too rigid in their thinking (overfitting), they might not be fair or accurate in future, slightly different cases.

A Random Forest, on the other hand, is like assembling a panel of judges (the trees in the forest), each with their own set of rules derived from considering different parts of the evidence (random subsets of data) and possibly valuing some pieces of evidence more than others (feature randomness). When it comes time to make a decision, each judge gives their verdict, and the final decision is made based on the majority rule or consensus. This approach typically leads to fairer and more accurate decisions because it combines multiple perspectives, reducing the influence of any single judge’s biases or errors.

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Dilemmas

Bias and Fairness in Decision Making: Given that both decision trees and random forests make decisions based on the historical data they are trained on, how do we ensure that these models do not perpetuate or amplify biases present in the training data, particularly in sensitive applications like hiring or criminal justice?
Complexity vs. Interpretability: Decision trees are valued for their simplicity and interpretability, but random forests, while generally more accurate, are less interpretable. How do we balance the need for model accuracy with the requirement for transparency, especially in fields where understanding model decisions is critical?
Environmental Impact of Model Training: Training large models like random forests involves significant computational resources and energy consumption. What strategies can be adopted to minimize the environmental impact of training complex machine learning models?

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